Rivers Political Drama: Why Governor Fubara May Ditch PDP for APC, Analysts Reveal

In the latest twist to the deepening political crisis rocking Rivers State, top political observers are predicting a possible dramatic shift in allegiance by Governor Siminalayi Fubara—from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) to the All Progressives Congress (APC). This development, if it materializes, could reshape the political structure of one of Nigeria’s most politically strategic states.

State of Emergency Sparks Uncertainty

The political turbulence in Rivers reached a boiling point recently when President Bola Ahmed Tinubu declared a state of emergency in the state. This controversial move led to the suspension of Governor Fubara, his deputy, and members of the state assembly, raising constitutional eyebrows and triggering a nationwide debate.
The federal government's decision was met with swift backlash, particularly from the PDP, who labeled the action as “unconstitutional” and a direct assault on democratic institutions. According to them, imposing a state of emergency in the absence of widespread violence or breakdown of law and order is both uncalled for and undemocratic.

Fubara's Cryptic Comment Hints at Political Departure

At a recent memorial service for elder statesman Edwin Clark, Governor Fubara made a striking statement that has since fueled speculations. “Do you even know if I want to go back there? My spirit has already left there,” he said. Though cryptic on the surface, political analysts believe this was a carefully crafted message, subtly suggesting that Fubara may be planning to sever ties with the PDP.
Dare Glintstone Akinniyi, a well-known political commentator and spokesperson for the PDP National Youth Group, interprets the comment as more than just an emotional outburst. In his words, “That was a message wrapped in subtlety. Fubara is sending signals not just to the PDP leadership but to the entire nation.”

Behind the Rift: Fubara vs. Wike

Central to this unfolding drama is Fubara’s widely publicized falling out with his political godfather, Nyesom Wike, the former governor of Rivers State and now Minister of the Federal Capital Territory. Their once-solid alliance has crumbled, leaving Fubara politically isolated within the PDP.
Wike, a dominant force in Rivers politics, had been instrumental in Fubara’s rise to power. But their relationship soured shortly after the 2023 general elections, with reports of political interference, disloyalty, and conflicting interests. Many now see Fubara’s rumored move to APC as both a survival tactic and a strategic repositioning.

A Secret London Meeting Raises Eyebrows

Adding fuel to the fire is an unconfirmed report of a private meeting between Governor Fubara and President Tinubu in London. While the details remain undisclosed, the timing and secrecy of the meeting have sparked intense speculation about Fubara’s future plans.

Is he negotiating a soft landing in APC? Is Tinubu grooming him as a potential ally in the South-South for 2027? For now, no one knows for sure, but analysts agree that where there's smoke, there’s likely fire.

2027 Elections in Sight

Observers believe that the real target behind these political maneuvers is the 2027 general elections. Fubara’s alleged flirtation with APC could be a calculated move to secure support for a second term in office. Given the influence the APC currently wields at the federal level, aligning with the ruling party may offer Fubara the political oxygen he needs to survive the current storm and reposition himself ahead of 2027.

Conclusion: PDP at a Crossroads

The PDP now finds itself at a crossroads. Losing a sitting governor to the opposition—especially under such controversial circumstances—would not only weaken the party's influence in the South-South but also signal a deeper crisis within its ranks.
As Rivers State braces for what could be another political earthquake, all eyes remain on Governor Fubara. Whether he remains with the PDP or makes a bold leap into the APC, one thing is certain: the political chessboard in Rivers State is about to witness some high-stakes moves.